Stan Wawrinka faces Jaime Faria in the first round of the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad on Tuesday, July 14th. The match pits a three-time Grand Slam champion against a 23-year-old Portuguese qualifier. Oddsmakers list Wawrinka as a slight underdog, at +120, while Faria is favored at -150, according to oddschecker data.
Wawrinka, 41, owns a career win-loss record of 576–345. His clay court win rate in 2026 stands at 48%, down from his career average of 62%. Faria, ranked No. 98, has posted a 68% win rate on European clay this season, including three Challenger titles.
| Player | 2026 Clay Win% | First-Serve % | Break Point Conversion | Tiebreak Record (2026) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stan Wawrinka | 48% | 61% | 39% | 3–5 |
| Jaime Faria | 68% | 65% | 47% | 7–3 |
Wawrinka’s power remains his weapon. His one-handed backhand is among the tour’s best. He won Gstaad in 2016 and reached the semifinals in 2022. But his movement has declined. He has lost five of his last seven matches on clay.
Faria breaks serve more efficiently. He converts 47% of break points, compared to Wawrinka’s 39%. He also wins 68% of first-serve points. Betfred’s tipsters highlight Faria’s ability to cover the spread, noting his consistency against older opponents.
The value lies in the over/under games market. The line sits at 22.5 games. Wawrinka tends to drop the first set but fights in the second. Faria has played three-set matches in five of his last six wins. A bet on “over 22.5 games” at -110 offers strong probability.
Prediction: Faria wins in three sets. Best bet: Over 22.5 total games.
In another first-round match, Buse vs. Tsitsipas, Tsitsipas is a heavy favorite at -400. Buse has a 55% clay win rate. Betfred suggests Tsitsipas to win in straight sets at -150.
| Match | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wawrinka vs. Faria | Over 22.5 games | -110 |
| Buse vs. Tsitsipas | Tsitsipas 2-0 | -150 |
Wawrinka’s experience is real. Faria’s momentum is measurable. The smart money favors the younger player, but the games total offers the most reliable return. Check live odds before match time. Weather in Gstaad is forecasted clear, with no rain delays expected.
Place bets responsibly.
💡 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
- Q: What are the odds for Wawrinka vs. Faria?
- A: Stan Wawrinka is a +120 underdog, while Jaime Faria is favored at -150 according to oddschecker.
- Q: What is the best bet for this match?
- A: The over 22.5 games market at -110 offers strong probability, as Wawrinka often drops the first set but fights back, and Faria frequently plays three-set matches.
Extended Reading
Data sourced from oddschecker, Betfred insights, and tenngrand previews. HA Viewpoint (HAVP) maintains no positions in the entities mentioned.